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September 19, 2006

Allchin: 200 Million Windows Vista Users in 24 Months

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In an open letter to developers, Microsoft Co-President of Platforms andServices Division Jim Allchin predicted that there would be more than 200 million people using Windows Vista within two years of its January 2007 launch. This, he says, is an opportunity that hasn't arisen since Windows 95, which was released over 11 years ago.

"We are very close to being done," Allchin wrote. "Are you ready for Windows Vista? We know the world is! Barring any unforeseen quality issues such as bugs around data corruption, resiliency, or security, we remain on track for business availability of Windows Vista later this year, with our consumer launch in January."

In the letter, Allchin calls on developers to start developing software that is "new, compelling, and cool ... More than 1000 companies are engaged in our early adopter programs, and some of the initial work I've seen has simply blown me away. People will just love these applications--from new [DirectX 10] games to cool Sidebar gadgets to new rich visual enterprise applications." For examples of these types of solutions, he points developers to a showcase of Vista applications at the URL below.

   http://www.seewindowsvista.com/

Aside from the message to developers, Mr. Allchin appears to be sending a message to everyone who's following the development of Microsoft's latest OS: Vista is on track and will ship according to the company's publicly divulged schedule. "The time we ship ... is very soon," he concludes. This timeframe has been corroborated by my contacts. I'm told that Microsoft will ship a final external prerelease version of Vista, probably build 5728, sometime this week, and then finalize the product in October. Microsoft still plans to ship volume-licensed versions of Vista to business customers in November and will launch the product to consumers in January.

You can read Jim Allchin's "Windows Vista: Now Is the Time" letter at:

http://msdn.microsoft.com/windowsvista/letter/default.aspx

End of Article



Reader Comments
Just to compound the misery Apple's OS marketshare is falling, and that's even before Vista is out.

http://www.theinquirer.net/default.aspx?article=34491

alanm999 September 19, 2006 (Article Rating: )


See, now here we go again.

Alan you just dragged Apple into an article that it was never even mentioned in.

Why do you continue to do this? It just turns every thread here into a useless discussion about Apple.

It's a Windows site. You're a Windows IT guy. Don't you have anything better to talk about than Apple? Is Windows really that boring that all you can do is take cheap shots at the Mac?

Next time, if the only thing you can think to post is "Apple's marketshare is falling" walk away from the keyboard. Let a good, on-topic discussion start for once.

bdkjones September 19, 2006 (Article Rating: )


Sure there will be a good number of consumers using Vista from OEM & computer purchases, but 200 million is a rather large number to predict for adoption, especially considering how businesses are always slow to move to new OSes. Microsoft must plan to release one or two Service Packs by this two-year mark to alleviate any fears that IT departments normally have concerning new operating systems. We'll see. I really like Vista, but many people in the workplace resist any kind of change.

rswilli2 September 19, 2006 (Article Rating: )


"Why do you continue to do this? It just turns every thread here into a useless discussion about Apple."

Yeah I mean seriously, he's the ONLY guy who has ever brought up Apple on these threads.

You know, complaining about the topic choice of someone else's post is about as on-topic as posting about Apple.

Anywho,

I think its safe to admit the best thing about Vista is DX10. Windows has been the only OS choice for games... and while MS has not outright ignored games, they tend to glaze over them during development. Its nice that DX10 comes with a shiney new OS foundation.

I'm not saying that games are the only reason to get Vista, more that the majority of vista will be evolutionary over superstable XP, while DX10 and the presentation foundation will be more revolutionary.

will84 September 19, 2006 (Article Rating: )


You know, I was excited about the new UI technologies coming from Vista and looking forward to developing with those cool interfaces. Then after trying it I realized that you need to have some design/artistic capability to make it look cool. So unless software developers have UI designers on hand your going to see some pretty crappy looking software, much like alot of web apps.

anonymous September 19, 2006 (Article Rating: )


"Then after trying it I realized that you need to have some design/artistic capability to make it look cool."

Its like that with anything really. Thats why MS is traditionally the butt of design jokes. They let 3rd parties do whatever they want... which usually means the crappy ones stink even worse.

But its never hurt anyone to let them have the freedom to make their app look however they want. If they want to sell it, yeah you gotta play by the rules to some degree, but if its just your toy anything goes.

That was one of my problems with the kIDE stuff for KDE and Gnome... if you write anything in it, its all going to look the same. Yeah my stuff looked "nice" but I'm pretty sure I could have made it look a different type of "nice".

will84 September 19, 2006 (Article Rating: )


"Then after trying it I realized that you need to have some design/artistic capability to make it look cool."

The point of the new XAML technologies is so that designers can work directly on the applications as opposed to the old way of requiring the developers to "translate" the designer's designs into code.

orion.adrian@gmail.com September 19, 2006 (Article Rating: )


I think Allchin is being very optimistic here. Many analyst reports I saw earlier in the year estimated around 35% Vista adoption by 2008. I think in the corporate world, they're going to wait many years, and that's after SP1 has been released. Vista isn't offering very much over XP or OS X Tiger for most users.

Preseton September 19, 2006 (Article Rating: )


Preseton -- 200 million is actually less than 35% of Windows users. If 200M were 35%, that would mean there are 571 million Windows users in total; I think the number is closer to 1 billion, so 200M is actually a conservative estimate.

PatriotB6007 September 19, 2006 (Article Rating: )


1 billion?? What about the 400mn figure we keep hearing?

shark47 September 19, 2006 (Article Rating: )


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