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September 18, 2006

Zune: So Many Questions, So Few Answers

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With the dust settling after Microsoft's Zune announcement last week, many questions remain--too many questions, in fact.

In case you weren't aware of its viral marketing campaign, Zune is Microsoft's latest attempt to seize the digital-media market from Apple, whose iPod devices and iTunes Music Store have captured both the imaginations and pocketbooks of the public.

The Zune product lineup consists of a first-generation portable media player (which plays music, photo slideshows, and video, although Microsoft will target music as the primary task for the first generation), a Zune online service, and various community-related features that will let Zune users interact.

From a marketing perspective, Zune differs from Apple's iPod in a few key areas. First, the device will include 802.11-based wireless-networking features so that Zune users can share music and other content. Second, Zune will eventually come in a variety of colors--and, presumably, form factors--although only white, black, and a unique brown color and one iPod-like form factor will be available this holiday season.

Doesn't sound very exciting, does it? It gets worse when you consider the downsides. Zune is missing the successful ecosystem that Apple spent years developing. Apple, by contrast, has millions of customers who have purchased iPods and who have purchased billions of songs from iTunes. Zune doesn't even include Microsoft's own PlaysForSure initiative: Zune devices won't work with other Windows Media-based online services such as Napster and MTV URGE. In short, it's another new initiative that's incompatible with the top two solutions on the market today.

Microsoft knows that the first-generation Zune won't take over the portable media player market. The company also knows that taking Apple down a notch is going to take several years and lots of product releases. And Microsoft has proven with products such as the Xbox that it's willing to spend the time and money necessary to make Zune successful. The question, of course, is whether the public will care. If Zune doesn't offer a distinct and obvious advantage over the iPod/iTunes hegemony, why would anyone buy it?

Furthermore, do we need yet another incompatible digital media solution? On the PC, Windows Media Player (WMP) comes with Windows. If you get an iPod, you need iTunes. Many PlaysForSure devices still include their own proprietary software. And now we have Zune: a new player, a new software interface, and a new online service. It won't play anything but the unprotected media files you either created yourself or ripped from a CD in MP3, Advanced Audio Coding (AAC), or Windows Media Audio (WMA) formats. (Yeah, it plays AAC. And MPEG-4 and H.264, for that matter. Weird.)

I've evaluated several portable media solutions lately from companies such as Apple, Creative Technology, and SanDisk. They all have advantages and disadvantages, of course. For Zune to truly matter, it needs to offer consumers the complete package, with no downsides. It needs to take my existing iTunes purchases and make them work, whether they're songs, TV shows, or movies. It needs to take the movies I've purchased from services such as Amazon.com and CinemaNow and make them work. It needs to take my Napster-bought songs and make them work. It needs to provide this functionality seamlessly and silently. And that's just the start.

The device itself needs to be better than the iPod. Not a little better--as evidenced by Zune's 3" color screen, compared with 2.5" iPod screen--a lot better. The services Zune offers need to be fast, fun, and effective, and they need to work all the time. Battery life has to rock; it can't be merely comparable. And the device has to be stylish, desirable, and beautiful. It has to make me look at the iPod as if it's yesterday's news.

Right now, Zune doesn't do any of that. Maybe it will in the future. But you know what? Apple won't stand still so that Zune can catch up. I don't understand what Microsoft is doing with Zune, because it doesn't appear to be much better than other portable media players, and it appears to be alienating Microsoft's existing partners in the portable media player space.

As a consumer, I don't think Zune seems very appealing, although I don't have one yet. As someone who's been watching the industry for more than a decade, Zune appears to be an oddly unilateral move from a company that has proudly touted its partnerships in the PC, video game, and digital media markets in the past. And as someone who, frankly, simply loves technology, Zune seems like a reaction, as opposed to a proactive and bold move.

End of Article



Reader Comments
"Derivation of hippie-dislike,

(Bono = anti-US. ^ I live in the US.) => Bono = anti-ME (basic set theorem)
ME = anti-Bono (reflexive property)
(ME = anti-Bono ^ Bono = hippie) => ME = anti-hippy (transitive property)

So see, its all very simple, logic doesn't allow me to like Bono or apple."

Oh, sweet mother of crap THAT'S FUNNY!!!!

You just made my afternoon :-)

sticknick September 18, 2006 (Article Rating: )


The lousiest argument that I've seen is that the Zune doesn't have a click wheel. Someone please tell me why it's easier to continuously move your thumb on a click wheel than to press a button (and I have an iRiver mp3 player and an iPod nano at home). On one hand, some people say Zune sucks because it doesn't have a clickwheel. On the other, if it did have one, people would have accused MS of copying Apple (even though Microsoft holds the patent).

shark47 September 18, 2006 (Article Rating: )


"The positive features of the iPod are obvious."

Are they really? Even to non-tech types outside of our little tech bubble? Or to tech types for that matter? I know someone will come up and say some different bullet points of why that it is obvious, but I just don't see it myself. will84 calls it brainwashing, in a tounge in cheek manner, but in reality, most people are not tech savvy enough to clearly see the advatanges of *any* MP3 player, when they have a collection of CD's, and cheap $20 portable CD players, which many will also play MP3 discs. If you believe Apple, you would get the idea that everyone has an iPod. But in my purely anecdotal experiences at various parks in my area, or on buses and trains, it is rare that I see someone with an iPod. That doesn't mean they don't exist, but I think it depends on who you ask.

Given the primary demographic of iPod users, I would say a good amount of those iPod purchases are peer pressure related. No one wants to be un-cool, and Apple has certainly conveyed that they are cool, and that they are compatible with the mainstream high school and college crowd. So if you don't want to be an outsider, at a time when you are desperately trying to fit in, NOT buying an iPod is a problem.

Don't take this as pro-Zune. MS will have a very long and hard road to travel to get people to buy Zune, and it very well may fail. If cell carriers have their way, Zune, the iPod and everyone else will fail. But, since when is competition a bad thing?

bmnbmn September 18, 2006 (Article Rating: )


"Given the primary demographic of iPod users, I would say a good amount of those iPod purchases are peer pressure related. No one wants to be un-cool, and Apple has certainly conveyed that they are cool, and that they are compatible with the mainstream high school and college crowd. So if you don't want to be an outsider, at a time when you are desperately trying to fit in, NOT buying an iPod is a problem. "

Exactly. That's especially true in schools and colleges. Zune doesn't need to be much much better than Zune (Paul would understand that if he took off that turtleneck). It needs to be marketed really well and Microsoft needs all the good luck they can get.A high-schooler isn't going to buy a Zune because it manages podcasting better than an iPod.

shark47 September 18, 2006 (Article Rating: )


The fact is, Microsoft has realized that where other mp3 player makers haven't, which is evident from their collaborations and their marketing style. In the end, it's not a techie like Paul who's going to make the Zune successful, it's the mainstream college/ high school crowd. Whether they're successful or not, at least they're trying something different.

shark47 September 18, 2006 (Article Rating: )


<pre-ignoring trolls/>
I think both Paul and the people bashing Paul are correct here.

I don't think Zune has to surpass the iPod in features for v1. They just need to put the name out there, start to get an install base, and prove that Zune is an alternative (ala the XBox). Come v2, they need something that will blow the doors off the iPod.

As someone who doesn't own an iPod because I prefer the renting v owning model, I just want the Zune to support that model. Does anyone know what the Zune music store will support?

jersey72 September 18, 2006 (Article Rating: )


"As someone who doesn't own an iPod because I prefer the renting v owning model, I just want the Zune to support that model. Does anyone know what the Zune music store will support?"

From zuneinsider.com

"And lots of folks have asked me about Zune's service - it's called Zune Marketplace. People ask: Is it download or subscription? It's both. Choose to buy a track individually or buy a monthly Zune Pass for a single flat fee for the freedom to download as many songs as you want."

yahoo September 18, 2006 (Article Rating: )


"Zune doesn't need to be much much better than Zune (Paul would understand that if he took off that turtleneck). It needs to be marketed really well and Microsoft needs all the good luck they can get."

You just described a very, very bad business plan if that is how Microsoft sees the Zune. Can you imagine Microsoft managers trying to rally support for starting the Zune project by saying "Well, sure, it's not really any better than the iPod, but we're going to market the hell out of it. Plus, we're hoping for a lot of good luck!"

nim55 September 18, 2006 (Article Rating: )


yahoo-

Thanks for the info and the site.

jersey72 September 18, 2006 (Article Rating: )


"Thanks for the info and the site."

No problem. There are several other sites listed on that blog.

"You just described a very, very bad business plan if that is how Microsoft sees the Zune. Can you imagine Microsoft managers trying to rally support for starting the Zune project by saying 'Well, sure, it's not really any better than the iPod, but we're going to market the hell out of it. Plus, we're hoping for a lot of good luck!'"

Frankly, nim55, I don't think he was wrong. First of all, Microsoft managers are not going to go around trying to market the product. They'll take help from local bands. Secondly, they're obviously not going to tell people, "This is not better than the iPod, but we hope you buy it." You think people at Microsoft are stupid, don't you?

yahoo September 18, 2006 (Article Rating: )


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