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January 2008

Exchange’s Evolving Strategy

An Exchange expert looks at where the product has been—and where it might be headed next
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Unified Communications
To many, "unified communications" means voicemail integration with Exchange. Such integration isn't a new concept—vendors such as Nortel have supported voicemail integration for Exchange since the late 1990s, albeit only for specific PBXs and with some expensive hardware. The idea behind UC—being able to access information from many different sources in an integrated manner and appropriately to the device used—is compelling. Certainly, anyone who has used Exchange Server 2007 Unified Messaging (UM) would be unlikely to want to return to a traditional voicemail system.

What's changing today is the entry of Microsoft into the market with Exchange UM and a new version of Office Communications Server (OCS) in combination with Cisco's determination to leverage its predominance in networks and move into the applications area. Cisco Unity, which connects Exchange to voicemail via Cisco Call Manager, directly competes with Exchange UM. Microsoft is tackling the problem of how to integrate voice, data, and video by incorporating these capabilities into its applications. On the one hand, Microsoft is exploiting its huge installed base by driving down the price of applications like UM to encourage customers to move to those applications. On the other hand, Cisco is evolving its huge base of networking and products to add applications like Unity and powering the transition from older analog-based PBXs to VoIP to introduce customers to the possibilities of UC. Both companies say they're working together, but the reality is that we're likely to see full-blown competition to win market share. Of course, Microsoft and Cisco connect to different people within the overall customer base: Microsoft usually connects with teams responsible for deploying applications such as Exchange, whereas Cisco usually connects with the teams that provide network infrastructure and telephony services. In many cases, these teams aren't well integrated, which causes some tension internally. But competition usually drives innovation. With two heavyweights competing for leadership in UC, we can expect features and functionality in applications to improve, better integration with existing infrastructures, new devices (for example, new generations of VoIP phones), and lower costs.

Information Management
If you've been running Exchange for any length of time, it's likely that you have too much email in your databases. You undoubtedly have some important information locked up in the databases that isn't immediately accessible, and you might find that you need that information to comply with legislative or regulatory requirements. Microsoft designed Exchange to be an email server, not an information archiving and recovery system, and given the increasing demands on corporations to comply with regulations from the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPPA) to the Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX) Act to SEC 17-4a, there's a lot of activity within the Exchange ecosystem to provide information management solutions.

Work to figure out how best to manage the information held in Exchange databases began ten years ago. Symantec's Enterprise Vault product originally began as a project within Digital Equipment in 1997 to offload messages from Exchange and move them into a Hierarchical Storage Management (HSM)-like vault. At that time, storage was expensive and servers were hard-pressed to manage very large databases (and Exchange was restricted to a 16GB database). Over time, storage costs have come down, Exchange now supports huge databases running on 64-bit servers, Microsoft Volume Shadow Copy Service permits online snapshots to back up databases, and the challenge now focuses on mining information from Exchange for corporate purposes such as compliance. A wide variety of products help users and companies control information better. For example, ClearContext offers software to help Outlook users organize messages intelligently. HP, Commvault, Mimosa Systems, and CA all offer products that mine information from Exchange databases.

Microsoft introduced context-based indexing for databases in Exchange 2007. (Earlier attempts to provide similar functionality weren't successful because indexing stole too many system resources.) Outlook 2007 clients that work in cached Exchange mode use Windows Desktop Search (WDS) to initiate connections to PST files from their mailbox, as Figure 2 shows. Although current search technology can index the metadata from voice and graphic messages, it can't index the actual content. I expect this situation to change as R&D investments in new search technology result in the ability to index nontext content.

We can expect the overall volume of email to increase. To create a complete picture of corporate data, repositories other than mailboxes—such as SharePoint portals, team spaces, and public folders—will need to be searchable. I expect Microsoft to improve the search and retrieval capability in Exchange and to forge a closer connection with SharePoint (if only to bridge the gap that occurs around public folder migration), but I don't expect the company to enter the instant messaging (IM) arena.

Software as a Service
Microsoft's biggest challenge, both technically and economically, is to change the way users license and consume software from a closed system wherein users control the OS, server, and clients, to a system wherein users select applications that are delivered via the Internet. Notable examples of successful application delivery, such as Salesforce.com, already exist. Over the coming years, rapid growth in network availability coupled with lower cost and new Web-based programming models will deliver some real alternatives to the classic Windows+Exchange+Outlook solution for enterprise-grade email.

Google is most likely to compete with Microsoft in this space, and that company is already making the necessary investments to build a suite of programs that deliver Exchange-like functionality. Gmail today is a long way from being perfect, but it's already better than many corporate email systems were a few years ago and will benefit from Google's rapid-development model to add features and become more competitive against a full-function client like Outlook. Google may have to develop its own API to compete with the richness of MAPI because Internet protocols such as IMAP4 aren't rich enough to support the range of features that Outlook delivers.

Google is already pitching the prospect of email delivered via the Internet as a service to customers. Initial interest is from the education sector, rather than large enterprises. Universities are attracted by Google's single annual fee to deliver email, calendar, and IM. Breaking into the corporate sector won't be easy for Google because IT teams will ask questions about security, compliance, and management that Google might find difficult to answer today. But given time and development effort, it's likely that Google and perhaps other vendors will find answers that satisfy customers, perhaps first in the small to medium sector and then in large enterprises. Microsoft might respond to the threat by developing its Microsoft Live capabilities to achieve feature and cost parity with Google. The difficulty will be to develop a Microsoft email SaaS offering without decimating the Exchange installed base. In addition, Microsoft has to figure out how Exchange and any future email product will cooperate, interoperate, and coexist seamlessly so that customers will be able to deploy all or part of their organization on either or both platforms and have the ability to move data and mailboxes between them. This is a staggeringly complex challenge, but it's possibly the most important one for the long-term future of Exchange.

Time Will Tell
After some twelve years of development, there's still much for Microsoft to do to maintain Exchange's status. The only thing that you can be sure about technology is that it will change over time; the trick is to understand why technology changes and how the change will influence and affect customer options. The Exchange development group undoubtedly has a few tricks up its sleeve to excite and delight customers, but it would be surprising if it doesn't already have the technologies I've discussed here on its radar screen.

Tony Redmond

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