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April 29, 2004

Apple Misses Music Sales Goals as Pepsi Promo Fizzles

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On the first anniversary of the launch of its iTunes Music Store, Apple announced that it has sold 70 million songs online, a tremendous achievement for such a nascent market, but far below the 100 million songs that CEO Steve Jobs promised. Furthermore, Apple's high profile song giveaway promotion with Pepsi has been a complete flop: Only 5 million songs have been redeemed, far fewer than the 100 million that have been circulated.

 

"iTunes has exceeded our wildest expectations during its first year," Jobs said, in a bit of hyperbole, given the 30 million song shortfall and the Pepsi debacle. Apple also quietly began retreating on its anti-Microsoft technology bent, adding support for Windows Media Audio (WMA) to iTunes 4.5, a new version of the player the company released yesterday. With the new version, iTunes users can't play WMA songs directly, but they can morph them into Apple's AAC format, and the resulting songs will play on Apple's hugely successful iPod (and iPod Mini, if you're on of the lucky few that got one).

 

There have been other changes in Apple's music strategy, some of which appear to be designed to head off competition from the Microsoft camp, which will soon mount a multi-pronged digital media attack. With iTunes 4.5, users can share music between up to five computers (up from three), and a new mixing feature will automatically set up playlists for parties and other events. Apple notes that the iTunes Music Store now sports 700,000 songs, up from 200,000 when the service first launched.

 

Some of the changes aren't so positive. With previous iTunes versions, users could make up to 10 mix CDs from the same playlist; that number has been dropped to 7. And though customers can purchase more music than ever from the online service, many albums on iTunes now cost significantly more than $9.99 because of price increases from the record companies.

 

Apple also refuses to budge from its buy-only, music-only strategy. Despite rumors that the company would introduce an iPod with a color screen, or a video iPod, Jobs says that iPods are about music only, and the company has no plans to venture from that niche. Furthermore, the subscription music services that are gaining traction on the PC side are unsuccessful, Jobs says. "People want to own their music," he noted in a conference call yesterday.

 

That's short-sighted. Late this summer, Microsoft and its many hardware partners will unveil a collection of portable media center devices and portable audio players that will be able to play back subscribed, and not just purchased, music. That means for a low monthly price--expected to be $10 to $20 a month depending on the service--customers will be able to stock their devices with a revolving inventory of 20 GB to 60 GB of content. Purchasing that content would be prohibitively expensive, backers of the scheme correctly note.

 

Despite the missed goals, it's impossible to underscore the important and far-reaching effects that iTunes has had on the music and consumer electronics industries. In a way, it's a shame that Jobs had to brag about the success he expected to achieve with the service, because iTunes, in fact, been hugely successful with an amazing number of songs sold. That misplaced bravado, the Pepsi debacle, and Apple's downplaying of markets for which it has no solution, suggest the company isn't prepared to innovate the next big consumer electronics push. And that's a shame: A video iPod with subscription services capabilities would have surely kept the Microsoft camp on the sidelines yet again.

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Reader Comments
Paul, you're clueless. From a marketing perspective, a 5 percent return on a campaign is not a complete flop, that's higher than most average returns. Plus, the fact that I'll bet many new users tried buying on iTunes because they could do it for free. I'll bet you were also one who thought reaching 70 million songs was a pipe dream a year ago.


Editor's note: Steve Jobs disagrees. He called the Pepsi campaign "disappointing." They were expecting 20-30 million redemptions. --Paul

Matt K April 29, 2004


It was my understanding that nobody ever expected all 100 million songs to be redeemed, especially Pepsi, who was picking up the tab. 100 million was never announced as a goal, just the number of codes out there. Did you speak to anybody at Apple before writing this?

Benjamin Ragheb April 29, 2004


Is it that you're jealous of what Apple has done to revolutionize the computer and now the digital music industries, or is it that you can't stand that Microsoft has actually been beaten fair and square by a rival company? The so called "missed goals" aren't so much missed if you'd look at any other music store, none of which have sold more than 40 million songs. Steve Jobs does know what he's talking about when it comes to customers wanting to own their music, or I'm sorry does someone that writes for an online magazine know more than a man at the helm of a multi-billion dollar company? Concerning the Pepsi "flop" in the end it only shows that Apple is once again ahead of the market in terms of technology and foresight. Digital music is only really useful to the 50% of internet users that have broadband, and if less than 75% of houses in America have internet access, the numbers compute that not even the 30 million songs they actually expected to be claimed would be in fact claimed. Get your facts straight. Your message sounds like its coming from a political campaign. We should all rejoice in the rivalry and amazing revolutions in technology that continue to occur daily.

Eric Seifert April 29, 2004


I don't know how you can call what Apple is doing with WMA support. It's a work around for people that have WMA files. The most anti-MS thing I think any company can do is move people away from MS technology. Apple is moving people to AAC they are not supporting WMA. Trying to turn what Apple has done with the iTunes update to look like WMA support. Only makes you look silly, "support" was a poor word to use. But I suspect you knew that and used it in an attempt to make your WMA prediction look right.

me April 29, 2004


Good supra-mainstream writing.

Gordon Tryon April 29, 2004


iTunes has been hugely successful without the benefit of a hugely successful promotion. The fact that the promotion didn't do well doesn't necessarily indicate that iTunes isn't doing well. You did point to the success that iTunes has had, smugly. The whole point was to get music lovers tuned into the new online market. iTunes has 70% of the online legal downloads market. This speaks a bit louder than the Pepsi/iTunes "debacle" does. What does it matter, then, if the Pepsi promotion did not live up to its inflated expectations. And to say that Apple is not ready to innovate the next big electronics push is so far from the truth. So the iPod isn't the only good mp3 player on the market, but it's the only one with an innovative user-friendly interface. That's why iPods are so successful. Furthermore, to say that Apple lacks innovation is asanine. It was Apple who introduced the world to the icon-based, user-friendly operating system. WINDOWS STOLE THIS IDEA. The dual G5 will outperform any PC it is matched up against. Consider the fact that Virginia Tech built a supercomputer, ranked third in the world, with dual G5s. The grand total for this project was roughly 5 million dollars. Please, next time you wish to write an article about Apple's failing promotions, take this to heart.

Chris April 29, 2004


Wow, even as a Windows user this article seems excessively Rah-Rah Microsoft. I don't need to rise to the bait and defend Steve Jobs and his company -- plenty of zealots to do that, I'm sure. But the article's headline masquerades as reporting, when this is editorial or "analysis" at best.

-r

random dent April 29, 2004


Should have gone with Coke. I wasn't interested in Pepsi, but I would have bought a ton of Coke if they had free iTunes in it.

Paul Comfort April 29, 2004


Can antbody tell me why someone would want to watch anything on a tiny video screen for anything but as a viewfinder on a video camera? This "killer ap" makes absolutely no sense to me.

Mark April 29, 2004


I'm not sure people want to actually watch videos on their iPod. The screen
would be way too tiny. And, subscriptions are a major turn-off -- at least, I avoid 'em because my usage varies from month to month. (A good example is my gym -- they charge $50 a month (membership) -- but there have been times where I haven't been able to go in two months -- I'm forced to paying $100 for no usage whatsoever. To the cost-concerned consumer (like me), making the model subscription based would be a turn-off.
I like the fact that I can buy and keep the songs I purchase from Apple's store, and I think many people feel the same as I do. Thanks for hearing me out.

-Krishna Sadasivam
Creator of "The PC Weenies"
http://www.pcweenies.com
"Tech 'toons that kick ass!"

Krishna Sadasivam April 29, 2004


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